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Hot temperatures & isolated severe storms, followed by a cold front

Temperatures will climb into the 90s Wednesday afternoon with isolated severe storms. A cold front works its way into the Brazos Valley Thursday.

BRYAN, Texas — Monitoring the potential for isolated severe storms Wednesday afternoon. What will help set the stage is the warm & moist airmass over the Brazos Valley. This kept Wednesday morning temperatures in the low-70s under cloudy skies with a few sprinkles.

Credit: KAGS
Wednesday morning temperatures
Credit: KAGS
Wednesday morning radar

The low level clouds should begin to break by late-morning. Temperatures will soar into the upper-80s & lower-90s by Wednesday afternoon. This is a good 15-degrees above average.

Credit: KAGS
Wednesday afternoon temperatures

During the afternoon hours, an upper-level disturbance will move into the region, which will spread strong lift over the Brazos Valley. With temperatures around 90-degrees, and dewpoints in the low-70s, this will be the energy needed to help 'feed' thunderstorms during the afternoon & evening hours. The upper-level disturbance will spread relatively strong deep-layer shear over the area, which will help thunderstorms organize and sustain intensity. At this time, it appears the low-level wind field will not be supportive of a high tornado threat.

Credit: KAGS
Wednesday afternoon upper-level pattern
Credit: KAGS
Wednesday afternoon temperatures
Credit: KAGS
Wednesday afternoon dewpoints
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Wednesday afternoon shear
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Wednesday afternoon low-level jet

There is a Level 2 risk (orange) of severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon for the central & western zone of the Brazos Valley. The best time-frame for severe storms will be from 3:00PM-8:00PM. The main hazards are very large hail and damaging winds. Some of the hail could approach, or exceed, baseball size; especially for areas near and just east of I-35. There is a low tornado threat but the tornado threat will be limited by a very weak low-level wind field. It should be noted, storms will be very isolated in nature but the ones that develop will be rather intense. 

Credit: KAGS
Wednesday Thunderstorm Outlook
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Wednesday evening radar
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Severe threats & timing

Another round of showers and storms expected Thursday as a cold front moves south into the area. Temperatures will fall behind the cold front. 

Credit: KAGS
10-day forecast