BRYAN, Texas — Monitoring the potential for isolated severe storms Wednesday afternoon. What will help set the stage is the warm & moist airmass over the Brazos Valley. This kept Wednesday morning temperatures in the low-70s under cloudy skies with a few sprinkles.
The low level clouds should begin to break by late-morning. Temperatures will soar into the upper-80s & lower-90s by Wednesday afternoon. This is a good 15-degrees above average.
During the afternoon hours, an upper-level disturbance will move into the region, which will spread strong lift over the Brazos Valley. With temperatures around 90-degrees, and dewpoints in the low-70s, this will be the energy needed to help 'feed' thunderstorms during the afternoon & evening hours. The upper-level disturbance will spread relatively strong deep-layer shear over the area, which will help thunderstorms organize and sustain intensity. At this time, it appears the low-level wind field will not be supportive of a high tornado threat.
There is a Level 2 risk (orange) of severe thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon for the central & western zone of the Brazos Valley. The best time-frame for severe storms will be from 3:00PM-8:00PM. The main hazards are very large hail and damaging winds. Some of the hail could approach, or exceed, baseball size; especially for areas near and just east of I-35. There is a low tornado threat but the tornado threat will be limited by a very weak low-level wind field. It should be noted, storms will be very isolated in nature but the ones that develop will be rather intense.
Another round of showers and storms expected Thursday as a cold front moves south into the area. Temperatures will fall behind the cold front.